Wednesday, April 13, 2011

Objective salvation 40: nine teams involved

Eighteen points in six days, these are the numbers of relegation, in league, involving more than 9 teams, at least mathematically. Genoa, 39 points, is one step closer to be on the safe, Bari, just 21, will soon be transformed from math to Executioner unscrupulous lawyer. The formation of Mutti, though out of contention, however, will play a crucial role in determining the other two relegated, having to deal with in sequence: Cesena to Manuzzi and Sampdoria at the San Nicola in the next two efforts, then the third last day to Lecce in Puglia derby.

Heavy weight will have many direct confrontations facing the longing for salvation, as well as the results of games against teams ostiche be addressed to the championship alive, but at the end of the season may be less steep than expected: he's had success with the test of the Bologna and Brescia, in the last round, with ties of Cesena, Brescia and Palermo and Cagliari.

It will however be a team, most of the other, to have charge of their own and others' destinies: the Brescia Iachini. The swallows are expected to be a hot season finale, which will see the opposite on the six rounds remaining, against five teams that will not or can give away anything: Sampdoria, Catania (at home) and Cesena before the challenge is not impossible against Fiorentina from zero ambitions.

Assuming the results that may accrue on the fields in the next six days, it is clear, with a certain margin of error inherent in probability, as the amount required to save to hover around 40 points with unit variance bilateral: between 39 and 41 points. What is certain, will be a season finale where even a single point could mean the difference between relegation and stay in Serie A and B.

We analyze one by one all the teams involved: Chievo Verona: He faced the most difficult schedule on paper, but as the Catania, the other, the one closest to the finish. Start playing against Bologna (3 points), then go to Rome (0 points) and then tackle at home against Lecce (1 point).

It closes with the last three race in Turin (0 points), against Udinese (0 points), and finally to Palermo (1 point). A total of 5 points sufficient to increase to nearly 41. The decisive match against Bologna Lecce in the next round: The Salento have earned the right to stay at home to beat Udinese and Sampdoria away.

The next races will control: Against Cagliari (3 points) to the Via del Mare, then Marassi (0 points), then in the home of the "biscuit" Verona (1 point). Admission home defeat against Napoli (0 points), followed by the derby with Bari (3 points) and the last, inside, against Lazio (1 point).

Eight points to lead the Giallorossi 42 share, totally safe. Decisive three points next Sunday against Cagliari. Parma: Ducali inguaiati, but comforted by far worse situations experienced by other teams. Against Inter (0 points), the Tardini difficult to obtain a useful result, the same home-Udinese (0 points) and then start racing affordable at home, against Palermo (3 points), outside derby with Bologna (1 point), the challenge against Juventus of Turin (1 point), to close at Cagliari (3 points).

Eight points, but at best, comes to 42. Does not get the victory against Cagliari, the final day, with fewer than 38 points would be relegation. Sampdoria: For the defeat against Sampdoria Lecce was a knockout blow. The next 6 races will face four away, facing at the Marassi Brescia (0 / 3 points) and Palermo (3 points).

Hard to pick up points away against AC Milan (0 points), Bari (1 point), Genoa (0 points, derby) and Rome (0 points). A part of 7 points already put at risk for them to remain in Serie A, Sampdoria blocking to 39. Decisive win against Palermo and the internal fight with Brescia. Cesena: Notes paradoxically less painful Sampdoria.

The Bianconeri will play the next game against Bari (3 points), the Manuzzi, which could found a significant leap forward. Following the derby with Bologna (1 point), and comparisons with Inter (0 points), Cagliari (1 point), then the head to head with internal Brescia (0 / 3 points), locking away to Genoa (1 point ).

A range between 6 and 9 points, which at best would lead to share Cesena 40. Attention is focused on fighting it out against Brescia, and the games against Bologna and Cagliari. Brescia: As I said, shaking hands in their own destiny. Address immediately Genoa (0 points), and after the KO against Juventus will close with a victory on account of salvation in the first two rounds that look interior.

Following is Milan (0 points). Then began a series of direct confrontations: Sampdoria (0 / 3 points), Catania (0 / 3 points), Cesena (0 / 3 points). Finally, the likely biscuit against Fiorentina (3 points) at the Rigamonti. Potentially 12 points, the sling portion 42, however, does not reach 42 share would have done to save the direct competitors, or in case of "balance", to be sunk with them.

Crucial and the last three points against Fiorentina. In summary, the more draws in the direct matches because the lower the share of salvation. Determining the approach to the final championship teams like Bologna, Cagliari, Genoa and Palermo. Far result against Brescia mean, for any direct competitor, a good slice of salvation.

Chievo secure, not less Lecce, Parma played the whole last day, at great risk as Cesena and Sampdoria, one of these two could be sunk or saved by Brescia in head to head, but beyond that the swallows will also the last win at home against Fiorentina. In determining optical Catania makes it all the home matches against Lazio and Cagliari before Rome, as the external challenge in Brescia, Turin and decisive than the last, against Inter at Meazza.

Also agree on betting. These are the bookmakers' odds for the fight salvation: The Brescia played downgraded to 1.50 before Parma and Cesena (same chance to 2.10) and Sampdoria, at a height of 2.75. Salt to 3.50 instead of being relegated Lecce, while a quota fixed to 7.50 out of danger now seem Catania and Chievo.

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